Recycling equity
Our analysis suggests that the over 65s hold roughly 44% (or £1.2tn) of the equity held in owner occupied housing. The release of that equity to younger generations is likely to form an important part in helping younger generations to get on or move up the housing ladder.
As a result of these changes, inheritance tax is likely to erode less of that equity. However, it is also likely that more of it becomes locked up until mature homeowners pass away, meaning it only becomes accessible to younger generations at a later stage in their lives.
While some will welcome the tax give away that is expected to cost the Exchequer just under £1bn by 2021, this may act as a drag on housing transactions.
Under occupation
This is likely to contribute an ongoing situation where older owner occupiers under-occupy essentially family homes. According to the 2011 census there were 3.14 million properties that were owned outright without a mortgage where there are at least 2 bedrooms per occupant.
Actively encouraging downsizing in other ways would ease this situation (for example, by providing relief from stamp duty). According to the English Housing Survey, downsizers only account for 7% of all sellers in the housing market, with our own analysis suggesting a greater propensity to downsize in higher value markets.
Overall, this may increase as parents seek to release capital to younger generations to get on or move up the housing ladder. However, for it to be encouraged in a more benign inheritance tax environment, consideration should be given to stamp duty relief and more emphasis should be given to increase the delivery of good quality retirement housing.
Key Facts
■ In 2013-14, IHT raised £3.4bn.
■ Of the 265,000 estates notified to HMRC in 2011-12, only 16,000 paid inheritance tax. Of these 3,900 had net assets of over £1m but generated 69% of IHT receipts.
■ 50% of IHT receipts were generated by tax payers in London and the South East, with a further 20% coming from the East of England and the South West.
■ Residential Property made up just over one third of the value of all assets held at death by those paying IHT.
■ Just 0.67% of estates notified to HMRC held net assets of more than £2m in 2011-12, the level at which the tapered withdrawal of the additional nil rate band kicks in. The average value of residential property held in those estates was £1.3m.
■ In 2014, 19,000 properties sold for in excess of £1m accounting for 1.6% of all transactions.