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Briefing: European Investment Q2 2015

H1 2015 was the strongest first half since 2007.

SUMMARY

■  The investment volume across the 16 countries covered in our report totalled approximately €48bn in Q2, which brings the turnover for the first half of the year to nearly €102.5bn. This is the highest first six months since 2007 and almost 25% higher than the same period last year.

■  Cross border investment increased in nearly all countries and especially in the peripheral markets where US investors have been particularly active.

■  Investors continue to favour core markets with the UK, Germany and France still accounting for 67.8% of the total volume, however the share of peripheral markets is rising.

■  Property prices continue to rise attracting more investor interest and pushing yields down. The average prime CBD office yield has dropped in Q2 15 to 4.6%, below the previous 10-year low of 4.7% in Q3 07.

 

"Investors seek future yield compression by targeting secondary or alternative assets in core cities, or prime assets in secondary markets"

Lydia Brissy, Savills European Research

■  Prime yields could move in further, but the lack of prime assets is likely to push secondary yields downward resulting in a reduced yield gap between prime and secondary.

■  We forecast an increase of at least 10% of the commercial investment activity this year and further yield compression for at least 60% of our markets.

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