Publication

West End Investment Watch - June 15

West End yields continue on downward trend.

Market comment and notable deals

■ May saw volumes of £238 million over 11 transactions, the smallest monthly turnover this year with an average transaction size of just £21.6 million.

■ Savills was involved in 26% of transactions by volume during May and in the largest deal of the month sold 120 New Cavendish Street on behalf of a private UK investor. The virtual freehold interest (979 years unexpired) comprises 32,481 sq ft of multi-let office accommodation with 81% of the income determinable on six months notice. The property was sold to the University of Westminster for its own occupation for £44 million, reflecting a capital value of £1,355 per sq ft.

■ Orchard Street Investment Management has purchased 70 New Oxford Street for £36.5 million, reflecting a net initial yield of 1.55% and a capital value of £1,414 per sq ft. The property was developed by a private Greek Investor and comprises an office and retail building totalling 25,820 sq ft. The low initial yield reflects the property being majority vacant with Orchard Street taking on the leasing risk as part of the acquisition.

■ Demand for prime retail investments is as strong as ever, demonstrated by two Oxford Street transactions this month: 155-157 Oxford Street was sold for £20.1 million reflecting a net initial yield of 2.16%, whilst 25-27 Oxford Street was sold off market to Emperor International Holdings for £35.5 million, reflecting a net initial yield of sub 2%.

■ Aberdeen Asset Management has sold 4-8 Maple Street for £21.6 million reflecting a capital value of £1,155 per sq ft. The property was sold with vacant possession to NFU and attracted seven bids from a mixture of funds, developers and owner occupiers.

■ As forecast in our last West End Investment Watch, and after continuing pressure, Savills have reduced their prime yield to 3.00% this month. The IPD average equivalent yield stands at 4.73%, down from 4.78% in March 2014, whilst the average initial yield continues to trend downwards and stands at 3.16%, as seen in Graph 1.

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Graph 1

GRAPH 1West End yields

Source: Savills Research, IPD

■ UK investors, specifically UK institutions continue to be some of the most aggressive buyers in the market however recent market commentary often overlooks the fact that UK investors are also material sellers capitalising on strong market conditions. This has led to UK outflows exceeding inflows within the West End by over £550 million this year, as seen in Graph 2.

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Graph 2

GRAPH 22015 net investment in the West End

Source: Savills Research

Table 1

TABLE 1Key deals in May 2015